Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 1.242997 1.495896 1.787784 2.149898 2.587599 3.100250 3.747302
2025-07-13 0.940128 1.269951 1.697659 2.294414 3.108137 4.182820 5.716474
2025-07-20 0.711655 1.056681 1.548989 2.305869 3.446532 5.111729 7.746255
2025-07-27 0.595842 0.958964 1.521155 2.460557 4.003802 6.460773 10.713171
2025-08-03 0.492004 0.848855 1.441714 2.506678 4.392743 7.632093 13.699091
2025-08-10 0.404396 0.741778 1.338293 2.480759 4.643875 8.619009 16.609590
2025-08-17 0.322067 0.623786 1.187609 2.331049 4.629414 9.117437 18.732663
2025-08-24 0.257660 0.524302 1.048292 2.167878 4.544766 9.451740 20.599436
2025-08-31 0.221927 0.473163 0.990960 2.153496 4.753363 10.413254 24.013685
2025-09-07 0.192755 0.429261 0.938877 2.137404 4.951974 11.393187 27.713549
2025-09-14 0.164711 0.381940 0.869782 2.067818 5.012574 12.074317 30.879666
2025-09-21 0.139720 0.336484 0.795827 1.970660 4.985106 12.539914 33.627723
2025-09-28 0.115172 0.292592 0.730109 1.915505 5.148532 13.776685 39.536841
2025-10-05 0.102203 0.274907 0.726529 2.028301 5.820136 16.650676 51.435480
2025-10-12 0.086466 0.245596 0.685707 2.031884 6.209059 18.947644 62.857879
2025-10-19 0.077952 0.233624 0.688667 2.164837 7.042447 22.920041 81.662860
2025-10-26 0.067882 0.213893 0.663346 2.204045 7.604698 26.300464 100.260897
2025-11-02 0.057992 0.191513 0.622968 2.180819 7.954897 29.142325 118.468504
2025-11-09 0.047581 0.164083 0.557799 2.049425 7.871856 30.426707 131.341610
2025-11-16 0.038917 0.139812 0.495565 1.906339 7.691331 31.290341 143.058324
2025-11-23 0.033967 0.127145 0.470007 1.893701 8.029608 34.405391 166.756718
2025-11-30 0.029764 0.115897 0.446120 1.879583 8.362195 37.678567 193.288467
2025-12-07 0.025600 0.103462 0.413769 1.818581 8.468296 40.025958 216.751531